Sample · proof case
The blind test

We surfaced Beşiktaş before the deal was public.

In a blind run on 1 July 2026 — with no knowledge of the outcome — OFFLOAD scanned the market for a buyer for Leandro Trossard and put Beşiktaş on the board. Three days later, the ~€20m move to Beşiktaş broke.

Run blind · 1 Jul 2026 · 3 days before the deal
A look inside a dossier

Not just who — who can pay, and who has to stretch.

Every club is measured the same way: does its wage structure clear the player's money, or does it have to stretch above it for a name? Here are three of the clubs from Trossard's scan — his wage was ~€210k/week gross.

Manchester United · Premier League
Clears the wage
his ~€210k/wk
€0est. ceiling ≈ €247k/wk€420k

A top side whose structure covers his wage inside its own budget — so money isn't the obstacle here. The read becomes squad need and fee, not affordability.

SSC Napoli · Serie A
A slight stretch
his ~€210k/wk
€0est. ceiling ≈ €197k/wk€420k

A whisker under his wage on the modelled read — a near-fit that stretches slightly for the right target. The gauge is precise enough to separate "affords" from "reaches".

Beşiktaş · Süper Lig
The marquee stretch
his ~€210k/wk
€0est. ceiling ≈ €64k/wk€420k

On squad-value alone, Beşiktaş sit far below his wage. But ambitious clubs pay well above their structure for a marquee name — which is exactly what happened. The engine surfaces them for what they are: a genuine buyer, and a stretch — the catch that decides the deal.

We find the buyer — and the catch.

🔒

The rest is in the dossier.

The full ranked shortlist, the like-for-like comparisons (real players each club just lost, side by side), the current squad each club would slot him into, and the per-market reads — eligibility, quota, tax, fee — are in the commissioned dossier. Built for one player, for one seller, in confidence.

Request a dossier →
The rigour behind it
221
clubs scored, this run
12
leagues in scope
3 days
before the deal broke
1
standard, applied to all

Every club is scored the same way, every time. Wage affordability and eligibility — quota, work-permit, registration — are modelled identically across the whole market, so nothing is cherry-picked and nothing is missed. The run is deterministic and re-runnable: the same inputs always produce the same shortlist. What you don't see here is the method — the signals and the weighting stay in the kitchen. What you get is the judgement: the buyer, the catch, and the reason.